Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 76.925221 86.329756 95.971416 106.564375 117.845252 129.470896 142.328523
2024-12-29 63.305681 76.890940 91.456439 108.109568 126.501954 146.082605 168.393349
2025-01-05 55.542633 71.541468 89.259417 110.082709 133.643772 159.254754 188.981289
2025-01-12 47.886320 65.276300 85.133255 109.063592 136.724775 167.335869 203.422641
2025-01-19 40.877656 58.981201 80.283399 106.574089 137.568166 172.425237 214.085388
2025-01-26 38.182817 57.571118 80.911779 110.228761 145.284474 185.161248 233.277885
2025-02-02 35.392727 55.743620 80.794628 112.790188 151.558795 196.123252 250.363920
2025-02-09 31.306941 51.889198 77.881506 111.706374 153.291581 201.637646 261.027430
2025-02-16 27.715486 48.376771 75.141847 110.609365 154.819648 206.763639 271.119642
2025-02-23 25.346324 46.327657 74.119223 111.520361 158.682066 214.579100 284.316389
2025-03-02 22.843321 43.877459 72.403250 111.410213 161.176778 220.679209 295.429416
2025-03-09 20.879120 42.041476 71.379322 112.084768 164.567056 227.804450 307.730060
2025-03-16 18.420127 39.290628 68.996694 110.920355 165.630410 232.134555 316.764647
2025-03-23 17.062212 38.125064 68.736452 112.509127 170.159007 240.701304 330.927620
2025-03-30 15.959310 37.265586 68.838119 114.530114 175.207716 249.894071 345.852239
2025-04-06 14.089056 34.974364 66.753615 113.486030 176.223169 254.038860 354.600584
2025-04-13 12.015667 32.116773 63.672689 110.934810 175.163761 255.511855 360.013647
2025-04-20 11.684431 32.302594 65.125133 114.679870 182.380735 267.381241 378.235205
2025-04-27 11.110742 31.992689 65.792164 117.303951 188.111584 277.387945 394.183417
2025-05-04 9.747682 30.067758 63.876113 116.193694 188.819440 281.003000 402.199754
2025-05-11 8.513435 28.241738 62.009424 115.069819 189.445115 284.468816 410.000569
2025-05-18 7.788882 27.358425 61.591204 116.003133 192.822434 291.440427 422.176847
2025-05-25 6.934961 26.098871 60.493206 115.890290 194.742803 296.521107 431.978542